AI Bubble? : AI Skeptics Hard Look at the Value Equation

There is an ongoing conversation happening right now between three camps: the AI Accelerationists, who want ‘all gas no brakes”; the AI Safetyists, who want to slam on the brakes; and the AI Skeptics.

The first two camps get all the press because they deal in extremes—utopia or apocalypse and extremes drive the attention economy. But we need to pay attention to the Skeptics. There is a taxonomy to the camp of skeptics; some don’t think AI is going to do what people say it will; others believe that it is a distraction from more pressing issues; and some are all about the economics and the math. The skeptics in this discussion aren’t arguing about the soul of the machine or killer bot swarms; they are arguing about the math. And from their perspective, the math is no bueno. MUY no bueno.

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Working with Microsoft

A lot of people want to talk with Microsoft with the hopes of establishing a business relationship. Most of these engagements go nowhere because people don’t know how to have that conversation. I thought I would provide some insight into why these discussions fail and what you need to do to maximize your chances of success. While the advice I provide is critical for any dealings with Microsoft (at least my part of Microsoft), I think it is a best practice and applicable to any business engagement.

The most important thing to understand when dealing with people from Microsoft is this:

We all have ten jobs and our only true job is to figure out which nine we can fail at and not get fired.

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